Clearwater Paper Valuation

CLW Stock  USD 17.38  0.38  2.14%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Clearwater Paper shows a prevailing Real Value of $19.38 per share. The current price of the firm is $17.38. Our model approximates the value of Clearwater Paper from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.09 %, and Return On Equity of -0.1 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Clearwater Paper's valuation include:
Price Book
0.3638
Enterprise Value
598.3 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
15.121
Price Sales
0.1799
Forward PE
10.9051
Undervalued
Today
17.38
Please note that Clearwater Paper's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Clearwater Paper is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Clearwater Paper's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Clearwater stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Clearwater Paper. Since Clearwater Paper is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Clearwater Stock. However, Clearwater Paper's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  17.38 Real  19.38 Target  23.67 Hype  17.38 Naive  16.7
The intrinsic value of Clearwater Paper's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Clearwater Paper's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
19.38
Real Value
22.09
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Clearwater Paper helps investors to forecast how Clearwater stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Clearwater Paper more accurately as focusing exclusively on Clearwater Paper's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.33-0.29-0.23
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6717.3820.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.0016.7019.41
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
21.5423.6726.27
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Clearwater Paper's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Clearwater Paper's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Clearwater Paper's closest peers.

Clearwater Paper Cash

96.12 Million

Clearwater Revenue by Product

Clearwater Paper Total Value Analysis

Clearwater Paper is currently expected to have company total value of 598.34 M with market capitalization of 279.89 M, debt of 321.6 M, and cash on hands of 79.6 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Clearwater Paper fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
598.34 M
279.89 M
321.6 M
79.6 M

Clearwater Paper Investor Information

About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.36. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Clearwater Paper recorded a loss per share of 4.61. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 29th of August 2011. Based on the analysis of Clearwater Paper's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Clearwater Paper may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities67.1 M70.6 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable

Clearwater Paper Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of Clearwater indicates not a very effective usage of assets in February.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Clearwater Paper Profitability Analysis

Considering Clearwater Paper's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Clearwater Paper may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Clearwater Paper's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2006-12-31
Previous Quarter
3.6 M
Current Value
-53.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
34.4 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit Margin is likely to climb to 0.1 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 83.1 M in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.0960.0495
Way Up
Slightly volatile
For Clearwater Paper profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Clearwater Paper to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Clearwater Paper utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Clearwater Paper's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Clearwater Paper over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Clearwater Paper Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Clearwater Paper's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Clearwater Paper's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Clearwater Paper is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Clearwater Paper is projected to generate -0.289175 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Clearwater Paper earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Clearwater Paper EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Clearwater Paper's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Clearwater Paper, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Clearwater Paper Ownership Allocation

Clearwater Paper holds a total of 16.04 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Clearwater Paper outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Clearwater Paper to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Clearwater Paper. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Clearwater Paper as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Clearwater Paper Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.38 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 196.3 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 113.1 M.

About Clearwater Paper Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Clearwater Paper. We calculate exposure to Clearwater Paper's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Clearwater Paper's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit87.5 M83.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.08)(0.08)
Operating Profit Margin(0.03)(0.03)
Net Loss(0.09)(0.09)
Gross Profit Margin 0.05  0.10 

Clearwater Paper Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Clearwater Paper does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y10.253
Forward Price Earnings10.9051

Clearwater Paper Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Clearwater Paper and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Clearwater we look at many different elements of the entity such as Clearwater's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Clearwater Paper, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Clearwater Paper's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Clearwater Paper's worth.

Additional Tools for Clearwater Stock Analysis

When running Clearwater Paper's price analysis, check to measure Clearwater Paper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clearwater Paper is operating at the current time. Most of Clearwater Paper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clearwater Paper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clearwater Paper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clearwater Paper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.